Institute for Near East and Gulf Military Analysis

Insight Reach Independence


  • Strategic Balancing and Power Play in the North Caucasus - International Implications of the Rise of Chechnya Under Kadyrov

    Matthew Hedges, Analyst and Project Manager, INEGMA on May 06, 2013

    While Chechnya has previously undertaken an decade-long battle against violent extremism, Islamic militancy in the Chechen...

  • Lebanon's new prime minister faces old challenges

    Bilal Y. Saab, Executive Director and Head of Research, INEGMA North America on April 30, 2013

    This article was originally published in IHS Jane's Islamic Affairs Analyst on April 19, 2013

  • Hizbullah-Iran Military Involvement in Syria: A Calculated Move or a Trap?

    Riad Kahwaji, CEO, INEGMA on April 23, 2013

    Over two years have passed since the start of the Syrian uprising and the violent and bloody struggle ravaging the country, far from over, could be headed towards a prolonged showdown between the Iranian-backed predominantly Muslim Alawite regime and the Western-backed rebels who are predominantly Muslim Sunni parties and fighters.

  • The Dark Side of “Revolution” – The Arab Spring and State Fragmentation

    Sabahat Khan, Senior Analyst, INEGMA on April 08, 2013

    The Arab Spring represents a series of uprisings which had less in common with each other than its broad-brush characterization suggested and each uprising in its own way pointed to future crises born out of tribal, sectarian, or ideological rivalries. It is now apparent that the Arab Spring set off a complex milieu of prolonged crises with political process, legitimacy, and ultimately state authority itself, unraveling at their own pace inside their distinctive national contexts. A lasting impact of these transformations will be the creation of new linkages between state and non-state actors inside a region that may just be embarking on rather than seeing off the most radical period of change since the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire.

  • Can Erdogan Now Deliver His End of the Bargain with Israel?

    Daniel Wagner and Giorgio Cafiero*, INEGMA Non-Resident Scholars* on April 03, 2013

    Although the restoration of ties between Israel and Turkey is welcome news for both countries, it is premature to gauge how close Tel Aviv and Ankara will become given their continued conflicts of interest. The 'thaw' in bilateral relations is likely to be slow, with the two countries' divergent objectives in Palestine and Syria remaining an obstacle to significantly warmer relations.

  • Why Lebanon's Najib Mikati Resigned

    Bilal Y. Saab, Executive Director and Head of Research, INEGMA North America on April 02, 2013

    This article was originally published in on March 25, 2013

  • Iran and Egypt: An Unrequited Union

    Emily Boulter, Non-Resident Associate, INEGMA on February 12, 2013

    In February 2011, just two days after the fall of President Hosni Mubarak, Egypt permitted two Iranian naval vessels to pass through the Suez Canal. It was the first time since the 1979 Islamic Revolution that an Iranian naval ship had passed through the Canal,

  • Sequestration and New U.S. Foreign Policy Priorities: Likely Impact on the Middle East

    Riad Kahwaji, CEO, INEGMA & Dr. Theodore Karasik, Director, Research and Consultancy, INEGMA on February 06, 2013

    Tension is high throughout the Greater Middle East region starting from Mauritania in North Africa all the way to Pakistan with terrorist attacks, uprisings and wars breaking out in various parts.

  • Implications of the Rise of Radical Muslim Groups in Libya

    Daniel Wagner & Giorgio Cafiero, INEGMA Non-Resident Scholars* on January 23, 2013

    It would be an understatement to say that the National Transition Council (NTC) has failed to govern Libya effectively since the fall of Gaddafi. The majority of territory outside Tripoli has fallen under the control of armed militias that have refused to disarm.

  • How Serious is the Threat to Jordanian King Abdullah's Rule?

    Daniel Wagner & Giorgio Cafiero, INEGMA Non-Resident Scholars* on January 16, 2013

    Calls for change have returned to Jordan, with large crowds demanding social, economic and political reform and objecting to the rising cost of living, high levels of unemployment, corruption and autocracy.